Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.236364 4.548076 4.889211 5.293761 5.765192 6.303419 6.973785
2025-05-25 3.728085 4.129404 4.596382 5.191221 5.946763 6.902426 8.255077
2025-06-01 3.394057 3.853531 4.415527 5.176934 6.224229 7.693093 10.095943
2025-06-08 3.144380 3.644243 4.282174 5.195522 6.551096 8.668365 12.781646
2025-06-15 2.960880 3.494550 4.202257 5.269773 6.980122 9.988030 17.288377
2025-06-22 2.741253 3.273339 3.996838 5.127434 7.040594 10.730433 21.735771
2025-06-29 2.532910 3.048194 3.760774 4.901841 6.909979 11.066797 25.989128
2025-07-06 2.388011 2.898037 3.616421 4.798454 6.974698 11.887018 35.072666
2025-07-13 2.342626 2.882075 3.665285 5.014899 7.708505 14.926947 94.750729
2025-07-20 2.270576 2.821227 3.638703 5.097691 8.205181 17.955982 21709.106617
2025-07-27 2.251013 2.834535 3.727637 5.402930 9.339985 25.768512 NaN
2025-08-03 2.218837 2.825592 3.778770 5.647547 10.473842 39.189216 NaN
2025-08-10 2.136315 2.742947 3.714498 5.684754 11.181864 59.820754 NaN
2025-08-17 2.017703 2.597584 3.532182 5.448984 10.942670 68.934523 NaN
2025-08-24 1.930495 2.496952 3.420110 5.351823 11.168224 104.148381 NaN
2025-08-31 1.859760 2.418246 3.340035 5.314408 11.626455 249.070220 NaN
2025-09-07 1.805219 2.362028 3.295000 5.350659 12.447126 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 1.728404 2.265485 3.169234 5.176694 12.267249 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 1.648105 2.159721 3.020122 4.929192 11.651064 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 1.590014 2.087745 2.928854 4.812504 11.624210 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 1.575446 2.086078 2.966941 5.020712 13.420727 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 1.546239 2.058357 2.953522 5.096761 14.673204 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 1.541232 2.070708 3.017810 5.396404 18.089448 NaN NaN